Russell A. Carleton, The
Shift: The Next Evolution in Baseball Thinking
Triumph Books 2018
© Russell A. Carleton 2018
ISBN 9781-62937-544-1
Triumph Books 2018
© Russell A. Carleton 2018
ISBN 9781-62937-544-1
Carleton is one of the newer generation of baseball
analysts, and has written extensively for Baseball Prospectus and has provided
analytical services for (according to the back cover of the book) several MLB
teams. It’s clear from reading the book that
he is a life-long Indians fan. He might
also be unique among writers who approach baseball analytics largely from a
statistical perspective (and he’s quite at home with advanced statistical
techniques), in that he has also worked as a behavioral psychologist (including
as a therapist), So he is clearly attuned to not-so-purely
statistical approaches as well. (This
shows up most clearly in Chapter 8, “Putting Down the Calculator,” but is
obvious throughout.)
Carleton has an informal, somewhat breezy approach (and, if,
for my tastes I learn more about him than I bargained for, an engaging writer). He’s very good at making clear that even
relatively simple-seeming issued can have complex –very complex—issue that may
be hard to resolve. I thought his
discussion of the ability to identify player talent and acquire it through the
amateur player draft was excellent. And
his discussion of “the shift” and the complexities both of how to deploy it and
how to counter it was also quite good (if anything, I think those issues are
even more difficult than he indicates).
I will say that anyone looking for ANSWERS to big baseball
questions won’t actually find them here.
This is a book more about how to frame and approach questions than it is
about the (tentative) conclusions one might reach.
I thought, overall, the book is valuable, although it has
more about Carleton’s personal life than I thought necessary. It’s also not the most gracefully written
book I’ve ever read. And I’m not sure
it has a permanent place on my bookshelf. But I also thought it provided sufficient
value for the money.
No comments:
Post a Comment